2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district
	Cheney: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Greene: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 50% No data
U.S. Representative before election; Cynthia Lummis; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; Liz Cheney; Republican

The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district, who would represent the state of Wyoming in the 115th United States Congress. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Cynthia Lummis decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Liz Cheney was elected to the seat to succeed Lummis.

The filing period for candidates lasted from May 12 to 27, 2016, and the primaries were held on August 16.^[1] Republican attorney Liz Cheney, daughter of former Vice President of the United States Dick Cheney, and Democratic energy executive Ryan Greene won their respective primaries.^[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Heath Beaudry, banker^[3]
Liz Cheney, attorney, daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014^[4]
Leland Christensen, State Senator, former Teton County Commissioner^[5]
Mike Konsmo, professor at Northwest College^[6]
Paul Paad, trucking executive^[7]
Jason Senteney, corrections officer at the Wyoming Medium Correctional Institution and candidate for this seat in 2014^[8]
Darin Smith, attorney and Christian Broadcasting Network executive^[9]
Tim Stubson, Speaker pro tempore of the Wyoming House of Representatives^[10]

Withdrew

Darek Farmer (running for State Senate)^[11]^[12]
Charlie Tyrrel, restaurant owner^[13]
Rex Rammell, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate from Idaho in 2008, candidate for Governor of Idaho in 2010 and candidate for the Idaho House of Representatives in 2012 (endorsed Darin Smith)^[11]^[14]

Declined

Rosie Berger, Majority Leader of the Wyoming House of Representatives^[15]
Mark Gordon, state treasurer^[16]
Taylor Haynes, physician, write-in candidate for governor in 2010 and candidate for governor in 2014^[15]
Cynthia Lummis, incumbent U.S. Representative^[17]
Matt Mead, Governor of Wyoming^[16]
Rita Meyer, former state auditor and candidate for governor in 2010^[15]
Ed Murray, Secretary of State of Wyoming^[16]

Endorsements

Liz Cheney

Alan K. Simpson, former U.S. Senator from Wyoming^[18]
Susan B. Anthony List

Leland Christensen

Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky and 2016 Republican Presidential candidate^[19]

Darin Smith

Rex Rammell, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate from Idaho in 2008, candidate for Governor of Idaho in 2010, candidate for the Idaho House of Representatives in 2012 and former candidate for the 2016 U.S. House election in Wyoming.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney	Leland Christensen	Darin Smith	Tim Stubson	Other	Undecided
Pulse Research^[20]	July 8–15, 2016	300	± 5.65%	21%	4%	3%	9%	–	52%

Results

Republican primary results^[21]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Liz Cheney	35,043	38.78
	Republican	Leland Christensen	19,330	21.39
	Republican	Tim Stubson	15,524	17.18
	Republican	Darin Smith	13,381	14.81
	Republican	Mike Konsmo	1,363	1.51
	Republican	Jason Senteney	976	1.08
	Republican	Rex Rammell	890	0.98
	Republican	Paul Paad	886	0.98
	Republican	Heath Beaudry	534	0.59
	Republican	Write-ins	155	0.17
	Republican	Undervote	1,651	1.83
	Republican	Overvote	625	0.69
Total votes			90,358	100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Ryan Greene, energy executive^[22]
Charlie Hardy, Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014^[23]

Withdrew

Richard Grayson, Democratic nominee for this seat in 2014^[22]^[24]

Endorsements

Ryan Greene

Dave Freudenthal, former Governor of Wyoming^[25]
Kathy Karpan, former Secretary of State of Wyoming^[25]

Results

Democratic primary results^[21]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ryan Greene	10,955	53.17
	Democratic	Charlie Hardy	7,868	38.18
	Democratic	Write-ins	113	0.55
	Democratic	Undervote	1,654	8.03
	Democratic	Overvote	15	0.07
Total votes			20,605	100.00

Third party and independent primaries

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared

Lawrence Gerard Struempf^[26]

Results

Libertarian primary results^[27]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Lawrence Gerard Struempf	276	81.66
	Libertarian	Write-ins	30	8.88
	Libertarian	Undervote	32	9.47
Total votes			338	100.00

Constitution

Candidates

Declared

Daniel Clyde Cummings, nominee for the U.S. House in 2012 and 2014^[28]

Results

Constitution primary results^[27]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Constitution	Daniel Clyde Cummings	133	82.10
	Constitution	Write-ins	16	9.88
	Constitution	Undervote	12	7.41
	Constitution	Overvote	1	0.62
Total votes			162	100.00

General election

Fundraising

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on Hand
Liz Cheney (R)^[29]	$1,462,710	$920,180	$542,530
Ryan Greene (D)^[30]	$98,541	$93,550	$3,126
Lawrence Struempf (L)^[29]	$0	$0	$0
Daniel Clyde Cummings (C)^[31]	$0	$263	$867

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[32]	Safe R	August 10, 2016
Daily Kos^[33]	Safe R	August 17, 2016
Roll Call^[34]	Safe R	August 17, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[35]	Safe R	August 17, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report^[36]	Safe R	July 14, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney (R)	Ryan Greene (D)	Other	Undecided
University of Wyoming^[37]	October 5–11, 2016	722	± 3.6%	53%	37%	—	—
DFM Research^[38]	September 6–11, 2016	402	± 4.9%	46%	30%	9%	16%

Endorsements

Liz Cheney

U.S. Senators

John Barrasso, Wyoming
Mike Enzi, Wyoming

U.S. Representatives

Cynthia Lummis, Wyoming

Governors

Matt Mead, Wyoming

Statewide Officials

Jillian Balow, Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction
Cynthia Cloud, Wyoming State Auditor
Mark Gordon, Wyoming State Treasurer

Individuals

Jim Geringer, former Governor of Wyoming
Randall Luthi, former Speaker of the Wyoming House of Representatives
Max Maxfield, former Wyoming Secretary of State
Rita Meyer, former Wyoming State Auditor
Alan K. Simpson, former U.S. Senator from Wyoming^[18]

Organizations

National Federation of Independent Business
NRA Political Victory Fund
Petroleum Association of Wyoming
Right Now Women PAC
Susan B. Anthony List
Wyoming Mining Association
Wyoming Stock Growers Association

Newspapers

Wyoming Tribune Eagle

Ryan Greene

Individuals

Dave Freudenthal, former Governor of Wyoming^[25]
Kathy Karpan, former Wyoming Secretary of State^[25]
Mike Sullivan, former Governor of Wyoming
Charlie Tyrrel, former Republican candidate for the U.S. House election in Wyoming in 2016

Organizations

Results

Wyoming's at-large congressional district, 2016^[39]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Liz Cheney	156,176	62.03%	−6.44%
	Democratic	Ryan Greene	75,466	29.97%	+7.07%
	Constitution	Daniel Clyde Cummings	10,362	4.12%	+0.03%
	Libertarian	Lawrence Gerard Struempf	9,033	3.59%	−0.72%
	n/a	Write-ins	739	0.29%	+0.05%
Total votes			*251,776*	*100.0%*	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Albany (Largest city: Laramie)

References

^ "2016 Wyoming Election Calendar" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Wyoming Secretary of State’s Office. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
^ "Wyoming House Races Results". Politico. Associated Press. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
^ "Evanston resident Heath Beaudry enters race for Congress". Casper Star Tribune. May 31, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
^ "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Elections Commission. January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 30, 2016.
^ Brown, Trevor (January 20, 2016). "State Senator Christensen seeks U.S. House nod". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
^ Naber, Matt (January 14, 2016). "NWC professor Mike Konsmo announces candidacy for U.S. House". Powell Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
^ Brown, Trevor (February 1, 2016). "Casper resident Paul Paad seeks U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
^ Brown, Trevor (May 1, 2015). "Yoder resident Jason Senteney announces bid for 2016 U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved October 11, 2015.^{[permanent dead link]}
^ Mayer, Kellie (June 1, 2016). "Cheyenne Resident Darin Smith Announces Congressional Campaign". KGWN Cheyenne CBS. Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
^ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming GOP congresswoman retiring, Liz Cheney considers run". Yahoo!. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
^ ^a ^b Brown, Trevor (January 16, 2016). "Former Idaho candidate runs for Wyoming House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
^ "Darek Farmer for Senate District 2 - Platte and Converse County Wyoming". Facebook. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
^ Hancock, Laura (November 16, 2015). "Charlie T runs for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
^ Star-Tribune, Laura Hancock, Casper. "Rammell drops out of U.S. House race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
^ ^a ^b ^c Yokley, Eli (November 13, 2015). "Liz Cheney Would Have to Overcome Hard Feelings for 2016 Run". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 15, 2015. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
^ ^a ^b ^c Hancock, Laura (November 14, 2015). "With an open U.S. House seat, 2016 will be a lively election season in Wyo". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved November 16, 2015.
^ Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummis will not seek reelection". Casper Star-Tribune. Associated Press. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
^ ^a ^b "Liz Cheney Endorsed by Al Simpson". Cheney for Wyoming. February 21, 2016. Archived from the original on August 28, 2016. Retrieved August 10, 2016.
^ "Rand Paul endorses Christensen in U.S. House race". Casper Star-Tribune. August 14, 2016.
^ Pulse Research
^ ^a ^b "2016 Official Primary Election Results". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 14, 2016.
^ ^a ^b Hancock, Laura (February 4, 2016). "Wyoming Dems have one of their own running for US House". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
^ Hancock, Laura (May 22, 2016). "Charlie Hardy to run for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
^ Hancock, Laura (November 17, 2015). "First Democrat enters U.S. House race -- but doesn't expect to advance his name on the ballot". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Former Gov. Freudenthal endorses Greene for Congress". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. August 10, 2016.
^ "Candidates start filing for Wyoming political races". Casper Star Tribune. May 12, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 16, 2016" (PDF). soswy.state.wy.us.
^ "Daniel Clyde Cummings". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 21, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "Wyoming District 01 Race". OpenSecrets.org. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
^ "Greene, Ryan — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
^ "Cummings, Daniel Clyde — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
^ "2016 House Race Ratings for August 10, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
^ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
^ "Roll Call's 2016 Election Guide". Roll Call. Retrieved August 17, 2016.^{[permanent dead link]}
^ "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
^ University of Wyoming
^ DFM Research
^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 8, 2016" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.

External links

Official campaign websites

[1] "2016 Wyoming Election Calendar" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Wyoming Secretary of State’s Office. Retrieved April 27, 2016.

[PrimaryResults-2] "Wyoming House Races Results". Politico. Associated Press. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 16, 2016.

[3] "Evanston resident Heath Beaudry enters race for Congress". Casper Star Tribune. May 31, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.

[4] "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Elections Commission. January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 30, 2016.

[5] Brown, Trevor (January 20, 2016). "State Senator Christensen seeks U.S. House nod". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.

[6] Naber, Matt (January 14, 2016). "NWC professor Mike Konsmo announces candidacy for U.S. House". Powell Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.

[7] Brown, Trevor (February 1, 2016). "Casper resident Paul Paad seeks U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 21, 2016.

[8] Brown, Trevor (May 1, 2015). "Yoder resident Jason Senteney announces bid for 2016 U.S. House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved October 11, 2015.^{[permanent dead link]}

[9] Mayer, Kellie (June 1, 2016). "Cheyenne Resident Darin Smith Announces Congressional Campaign". KGWN Cheyenne CBS. Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.

[lummis-10] Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming GOP congresswoman retiring, Liz Cheney considers run". Yahoo!. Retrieved November 12, 2015.

[idaho-11] Brown, Trevor (January 16, 2016). "Former Idaho candidate runs for Wyoming House seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 21, 2016.

[12] "Darek Farmer for Senate District 2 - Platte and Converse County Wyoming". Facebook. Retrieved June 21, 2016.

[13] Hancock, Laura (November 16, 2015). "Charlie T runs for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.

[14] Star-Tribune, Laura Hancock, Casper. "Rammell drops out of U.S. House race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)

[hard_feelings-15] Yokley, Eli (November 13, 2015). "Liz Cheney Would Have to Overcome Hard Feelings for 2016 Run". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 15, 2015. Retrieved November 16, 2015.

[open_seat-16] Hancock, Laura (November 14, 2015). "With an open U.S. House seat, 2016 will be a lively election season in Wyo". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved November 16, 2015.

[17] Fram, Alan (November 12, 2015). "Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummis will not seek reelection". Casper Star-Tribune. Associated Press. Retrieved November 12, 2015.

[Liz_Cheney_Endorsed_by_Al_Simpson-18] "Liz Cheney Endorsed by Al Simpson". Cheney for Wyoming. February 21, 2016. Archived from the original on August 28, 2016. Retrieved August 10, 2016.

[19] "Rand Paul endorses Christensen in U.S. House race". Casper Star-Tribune. August 14, 2016.

[20] Pulse Research

[Primary-21] "2016 Official Primary Election Results". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 14, 2016.

[Greene-22] Hancock, Laura (February 4, 2016). "Wyoming Dems have one of their own running for US House". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.

[23] Hancock, Laura (May 22, 2016). "Charlie Hardy to run for Congress". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 21, 2016.

[24] Hancock, Laura (November 17, 2015). "First Democrat enters U.S. House race -- but doesn't expect to advance his name on the ballot". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 21, 2016.

[Freudenthal-25] "Former Gov. Freudenthal endorses Greene for Congress". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. August 10, 2016.

[26] "Candidates start filing for Wyoming political races". Casper Star Tribune. May 12, 2016. Retrieved June 21, 2016.

[SoS-27] "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Election - August 16, 2016" (PDF). soswy.state.wy.us.

[28] "Daniel Clyde Cummings". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 21, 2016.

[opensecrets-29] "Wyoming District 01 Race". OpenSecrets.org. Retrieved August 17, 2016.

[30] "Greene, Ryan — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.

[31] "Cummings, Daniel Clyde — Candidate for House". Federal Elections Commission. Retrieved August 17, 2016.

[32] "2016 House Race Ratings for August 10, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.

[33] "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 17, 2016.

[34] "Roll Call's 2016 Election Guide". Roll Call. Retrieved August 17, 2016.^{[permanent dead link]}

[35] "2016 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 17, 2016.

[36] "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 17, 2016.

[37] University of Wyoming

[38] DFM Research

[39] "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 8, 2016" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.

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Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Results

Third party and independent primaries

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared

Results

Constitution

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Fundraising

Predictions

Polling

Endorsements

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

External links